摘要: |
中国当前参与的全球化生产仍集中于技术含量较低的劳动密集型行业,该技术分工
显示分析出口净技术复杂度尤为重要。本文测度了出口净技术复杂度水平并进行了
国际比较,同时分析了其与金融发展的相关性,并基于金融发展对出口净技术复杂
度的作用机制,选取商业银行相对集中度CONC 指标及私人债券的市价总值占GDP
的比重作为衡量金融发展特征的指标,引用行业外部金融依赖系数,进而实证分析
了金融发展对总体行业及不同技术含量的行业出口净技术复杂度的差异性影响,发
现金融发展对总体行业的影响符合理论预期,但对高及中高技术行业的出口净技术
复杂度的正向效应稍弱,反映出中国当前仍以技术水平含量不高的低端产业为主,
但正处于向高端产业迈进的过渡阶段。 |
关键词: 金融发展 出口净技术复杂度;技术含量 |
DOI: |
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基金项目: |
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Co-integration Study between Export Technological Structure and Economic Growth in China |
WANG Xiao-yan QI,WANG Xiao-yan QI |
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Abstract: |
This paper measures the export technological structure of 48 countries and regions with adjusted export sophistication index. It analyzes the relation between export technological structure and economic growth based on econometric model of China’s data during 1992~2013. The main conclusions are the following: (1) China’s export sophistication has a certain degree of improvement, but still lags behind those of most developed countries. The economic growth level of scattered point analysis also conforms to China’s economic development level, so China does not feature “Rodrik paradox”; (2) the co-integration analysis shows that export technological structure of ascension is one of the engines of economic growth, but otherwise it is not established. This article puts forward policy suggestions for China to promote the upgrading of export technological structure and maintain a strong momentum of economic growth. |
Key words: export technological structure economic growth co-integration analysis |