| 摘要: |
| 本文通过研究中国作为“轮轴”在亚太范围内自贸区建设的贸易增长效应，根据1992~2014年中国与亚太地区 20个主要国家和地区的贸易数据和资料，利用面板数据并结合引力模型分析其经济增长进程中的影响因素。研究结果发现：在亚太地区，中国与其他国家和地区签订自由贸易协定能够对中国出口贸易及双边经济增长产生正效应，且效果随着签订自由贸易协定数量的增加而更加显著；然而，中国进口贸易的经济增长效应随着签订自由贸易协定的增加而不显著。中国应该积极推进亚太地区自贸区的建设进程，寻求更有发展潜力的国际市场，扩大区域性经济一体化的合作范围，建立更有利于双边贸易共同发展的自贸区。 |
| 关键词: 自贸区 引力模型 自贸区战略 |
| DOI： |
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| Research on Effect of Trade Growth Regarding China as a “Hub” among Free Trade Areas in the Asia-Pacific Region: Based on Extended Gravity |
| QIAN Jin |
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| Abstract: |
| This article is based on China and the Asia-Pacific region in 1992~2014, with trade data and information of 20 major countries and regions, and uses panel data combined with Gravity Model in order to analyze the economic effects of FTA strategy in multiple free trade areas. Research shows a free trade agreement betweenChina and other countries in the Asia-pacific region can generate positive effect of bilateral trade，and the effect is remarkable. On the basis of empirical research, this paper argues that China should actively promote free tradearea construction process，search for more potential in the international market, expand the scope of cooperation of regional economic integration, and establish free trade areas which are conducive to the bilateral trade of mutual development. |
| Key words: free trade area gravity model FTA strategy |
