| 摘要: |
| 在测算中国农产品出口增长二元边际的基础上，将国内对农产品的需求纳入引力模型，实证检验本地需求对农产品出口增长二元边际的影响。研究发现：总体来看，中国农产品出口增长的集约边际具有显著的本地市场效应，但扩展边际不存在本地市场效应，即国内需求主要通过集约边际促进农产品出口增长；从具体农产品来看，水产品、蔬菜和水果出口增长的集约边际存在本地市场效应，但由于农业规模经营效益差、农产品价高质低等原因，大宗农产品、蔬菜和水果出口增长的扩展边际存在逆本地市场效应。因此，在处于农业资源禀赋劣势的条件下，应加快推进以市场需求为导向的农业供给侧改革。 |
| 关键词: 农业供给侧改革 农产品出口 本地市场效应 集约边际 扩展边际 |
| DOI： |
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| 基金项目:广东省普通高校人文社会科学研究项目“广东省农产品贸易的本地市场效应研究”(项目编号:2013WYXM0016)；广东省教育厅创新团队项目“大国农业背景下中国农业全球化发展战略研究”(项目编号:2016WCXTD007)。 |
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| Home Market Effect and the Dual Margin of Agricultural Products Export Growth in the Background of Agricultural Supply Side Reform |
| YU Meici,YU Huihui |
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| Abstract: |
| The paper calculates the dual margin of agricultural products export growth in China, and empirically tests its home market effect, using the gravity model including domestic demand. The results show that, the intensive margin of overall agricultural products export growth has home market effect, but the extensive margin of that has no such effect, which means that domestic demand mainly promotes the export of agricultural products through intensive margin. From the specific agricultural products, the intensive margins of aquatic products, vegetables, and fruits export growth have home market effects; the extensive of bulk farm-products, vegetables and fruits export growth have adverse home market effects. Therefore, China should accelerate the reform of the market demand oriented agricultural supply side in the predicament of the inferiority of agricultural resources. |
| Key words: agricultural supply side reform exports of agricultural products home market effect intensive margin extensive margin |
